Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 1.904567 2.009227 2.117911 2.239464 2.371930 2.512263 2.672633
2026-01-25 1.725653 1.875351 2.038076 2.229182 2.448872 2.695228 2.994824
2026-02-01 1.576361 1.750902 1.947209 2.186561 2.473595 2.810804 3.243170
2026-02-08 1.439762 1.625062 1.838819 2.106983 2.439330 2.844586 3.387411
2026-02-15 1.349287 1.543990 1.773552 2.068840 2.445746 2.921280 3.584988
2026-02-22 1.286611 1.490433 1.735520 2.058073 2.481232 3.032719 3.833980
2026-03-01 1.223288 1.431331 1.685567 2.026597 2.484506 3.098209 4.022083
2026-03-08 1.144073 1.347915 1.599822 1.942269 2.409715 3.048948 4.036671
2026-03-15 1.105579 1.313641 1.574337 1.934671 2.436841 3.141461 4.267813
2026-03-22 1.098256 1.318303 1.598660 1.994136 2.559667 3.379453 4.748876
2026-03-29 1.069105 1.292945 1.581675 1.995197 2.598187 3.494492 5.044747
2026-04-05 1.048815 1.278096 1.577597 2.013327 2.661796 3.651748 5.429947
2026-04-12 1.028630 1.264835 1.578039 2.042385 2.750847 3.868802 5.976174
2026-04-19 0.994074 1.231090 1.549143 2.027892 2.773308 3.982414 6.357567
2026-04-26 0.953932 1.188116 1.505390 1.988864 2.754234 4.024416 6.608583
2026-05-03 0.906914 1.133908 1.443443 1.919091 2.680728 3.965009 6.643707
2026-05-10 0.874369 1.098577 1.406851 1.885680 2.663827 4.003569 6.892097
2026-05-17 0.851269 1.075514 1.386760 1.876214 2.685380 4.113085 7.316456
2026-05-24 0.824461 1.046221 1.356324 1.848806 2.674287 4.160180 7.606856
2026-05-31 0.786015 0.999249 1.298354 1.775325 2.579450 4.039200 7.473955
2026-06-07 0.768493 0.981599 1.282948 1.768689 2.600185 4.143957 7.919397
2026-06-14 0.767884 0.988093 1.303460 1.820527 2.727556 4.474555 9.034217
2026-06-21 0.753836 0.974563 1.293232 1.821450 2.762871 4.620690 9.690276